Gambling with the Martingale Strategy
Numberphile · Why doubling after losses can't beat the edge
Learn how every game really works, practice with free labs that never touch real money, and see the house edge before it sees you.
Expected loss for the same bet and time, by game. Change the numbers.
Uses typical pace (rounds per hour) and standard house edges. Full calculator →
Each lab runs the real game math in your browser. Make mistakes for free, then see exactly what they would have cost.
Instant feedback on every decision, a live strategy chart and a weak-spot map that shows where you leak money.
Start drilling →Run 1,000 sessions of Martingale, Fibonacci or D'Alembert and watch what the house edge does to them.
Run a simulation →See why a 96% RTP game can still empty a bankroll — and how volatility changes the ride.
Spin the math →Pick any hand and board. Get win, tie and hand-type odds against up to nine opponents.
Calculate equity →Roll two dice 10,000 times and watch the bell-shaped truth behind every craps bet.
Roll the dice →Think a streak means something is “due”? Test the gambler's fallacy — and try to fake randomness.
Flip coins →The house edge is the share of every dollar wagered that the casino expects to keep over the long run. A 0.5% edge and a 25% edge are different universes.
Compare any game → How house edge works| Bet | House edge | Keep per $100 bet |
|---|---|---|
| Blackjack, basic strategy (good rules) | ≈ 0.5% | $0.50 |
| Baccarat — Banker | 1.06% | $1.06 |
| Craps — Don't Pass | 1.36% | $1.36 |
| Craps — Pass Line | 1.41% | $1.41 |
| European roulette | 2.70% | $2.70 |
| American roulette | 5.26% | $5.26 |
| Baccarat — Tie (8:1) | 14.36% | $14.36 |
| Keno (typical) | 25%+ | $25+ |
New to casino math? Read these six in order.
Variance, risk of ruin and why betting systems fail.
Optimal play for the games with the lowest edges.
Budgets, warning signs and the psychology working against you.
Take any 1-in-N shot and try it N times. You'll miss every single time about 36.8% of the time — that's 1/e, where e ≈ 2.71828. Bet a roulette number for 37 spins and there's a 36.3% chance it never hits. Our name is a reminder that intuition about luck is usually wrong, and math is usually right.
Try the “at least once” calculator →How video poker works: reading 9/6 and 8/5 Jacks or Better pay tables, what 99.54% return really means, and the hold decisions that matter, with exact EVs.
Read guide →Learn Texas Holdem odds: starting-hand math, counting outs, the rule of 2 and 4, pot odds and when a call is profitable, with exact percentages and examples.
Read guide →Why a standard -110 line needs a 52.38% win rate to break even, how overround and parlays build in margin, and why even skilled bettors drown in variance.
Read guide →Chasing losses, hiding spending and gambling to escape stress can signal a problem. Learn the common warning signs, how to raise them and where to find help.
Read guide →Budget a casino trip like any night out: estimate the expected cost with the theo formula, add a cushion for swings and set firm limits for every session.
Read guide →RTP sets the long-run cost of a slot and volatility sets the swings. Three machines with the same 96% RTP show why your session rarely looks like the average.
Read guide →A printable blackjack strategy card, a house-edge cheat sheet for 30+ bets, and a short weekly email that makes you harder to fool. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
Numberphile · Why doubling after losses can't beat the edge
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